Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Mewa Arena, Mainz
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Uzun C.
Assist: Burkardt J.
41'
Onyedika R.
43' Event
Amiri N.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Eintracht Frankfurt in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eintracht Frankfurt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mainz
30%
Draws
31%
Eintracht Frankfurt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mainz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mainz have won more games recently than Eintracht Frankfurt.
  • Win probability leans Mainz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mainz Clean Sheet 10%
Eintracht Frankfurt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz Eintracht Frankfurt
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.76 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz
1:0
May 4, 2025 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz Compare

Top Goalscorer Tietz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Eintracht Frankfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzun C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Burkardt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz 83 / 100
Eintracht Frankfurt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz Eintracht Frankfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mainz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Eintracht Frankfurt has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Mainz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mainz VS Eintracht Frankfurt
3.13 Goals Scored 3.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz

(Home)
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5
Mainz
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9
Mainz
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Eintracht Frankfurt

(Away)
19 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
Freiburg
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 4
Augsburg
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
21 Aug
SC St.Tonis
0 : 11
Eintracht Frankfurt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)