Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Mewa Arena, Mainz

Mainz

4 - 1

Rosenborg

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Bell S.

34'

Islamovic D.

43'

Lee Jae-Sung

Assist: Caci A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Mainz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Mainz

Draws

Rosenborg

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mainz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Rosenborg haven't matched Mainz's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Mainz taking it.
Mainz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mainz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Mainz Clean Sheet 20%

Rosenborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mainz	Rosenborg
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	15	11
Draws	7	4
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	4.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	4.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2025 Conference League

Mainz vs Rosenborg

4:1

Aug 21, 2025 Conference League

Rosenborg vs Mainz

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bell S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lee Jae-Sung

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.18

Avg xA / game 2.06

Rosenborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Islamovic D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz 85 / 100

Rosenborg 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mainz Rosenborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mainz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rosenborg has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mainz VS Rosenborg

4.13 Goals Scored 1.38

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz

(Home)

25 Jul

Mainz

3 : 0

Holstein Kiel

17 Jul

Mainz

4 : 1

Kaiserslautern

11 Jul

Eisbachtal

0 : 10

Mainz

04 Jul

Pfeddersheim

0 : 11

Mainz

16 May

Heidenheim

0 : 2

Mainz

Page 1 of 6

Rosenborg

(Away)

24 Jul

Rosenborg

0 : 5

Manchester United

18 Jul

Start

0 : 3

Rosenborg

12 Jul

Rosenborg

3 : 0

Kristiansund

05 Jul

Rosenborg

2 : 1

Molde

29 May

Rosenborg

2 : 2

Bodo/Glimt

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Hamrun-

TBD-

RFS-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Vikingur-

TBD-

Zalgiris-

TBD-

Linfield-

Breidablik-

TBD-

Buducnost-

TBD-

Milsami-

TBD-

Virtus-

Drita-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Differdange-

Levadia-

TBD-

Iberia 1999-

O. Ljubljana-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Din. Minsk-

TBD-

KF Egnatia-

TBD-

Noah-

Strasbourg-

TBD-

Vllaznia4

BFC Daugavpils3

Malisheva0

Vikingur Reykjavik9

HB Torshavn-

TBD-

Brondby-

Silkeborg-

TBD-

KA Akureyri-

Novi Pazar-

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Zira FK-

TBD-

Hajduk Split-

Atletic Escaldes5

Dudelange2

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana-

Shakhtar-

TBD-

Servette-

Anderlecht-

TBD-

Sheriff Tiraspol-

Aris Limassol-

TBD-

Puskas Academy-

AEK-

TBD-

H. Beer Sheva-

Viking-

TBD-

Zeljeznicar2

Koper4

Cherno More-

TBD-

Basaksehir-

FK Sarajevo-

TBD-

Univ. Craiova-

Hibernians-

TBD-

Spartak Trnava-

Crystal Palace-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Lugano-

TBD-

Celje-

Ostrava-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

TBD-

Spaeri-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Zilina-

Zhodino4

Rabotnicki0

TBD-

Maccabi Haifa-

FK Kauno Zalgiris4

Penybont1

Valur5

Flora1

Arda-

TBD-

NSI Runavik4

HJK5

Oleksandriya-

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

Hibernian-

TBD-

Legia-

Levski Sofia-

TBD-

Birkirkara1

Petrocub Hincesti3

TBD-

Sabah Baku-

Ilves-

TBD-

AZ Alkmaar-

Vaduz-

TBD-

Dungannon-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

Borac Banja Luka3

FC Santa Coloma4

Paks-

TBD-

Maribor-

TBD-

Fiorentina-

AIK-

TBD-

Magpies3

Paide Linnameeskond7

Tre Fiori1

Pyunik Yerevan5

TBD-

Gyor-

Decic3

Sileks2

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Dundee Utd-

TBD-

UNA Strassen-

Radnicki 1923-

TBD-

SJK1

Klaksvik4

FC Kosice-

TBD-

Urartu1

Neman6

TBD-

Rayo Vallecano-

La Fiorita2

Vardar5

TBD-

Lausanne-

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

FC Astana-

St. Patricks3

FC Hegelmann0

Kalju2

Partizani1

TBD-

Besiktas-

Larne3

FK Auda Riga2

TBD-

Prishtina-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Santa Clara-

FC Ballkani-

TBD-

Floriana5

Haverfordwest3

St Josephs5

Cliftonville4

TBD-

Shamrock Rovers-

Rosenborg-

TBD-

Banga-

Hammarby-

TBD-

Charleroi-

TBD-

Mainz-

Aktobe-

TBD-

Sparta Prague-

Ararat-Armenia-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Racing Luxembourg1

Dila Gori3

Sutjeska3

Dynamo Brest2

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Hacken-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

Wolfsberger AC-

TBD-

Araz PFK-

TBD-

Aris-

Omonia-

TBD-

Torpedo Kutaisi5

Ordabasy4

Quarter-finals

Hamrun-

TBD-

RFS-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Vikingur-

TBD-

Zalgiris0

Linfield2

Breidablik-

TBD-

Buducnost1

Milsami2

TBD-

Virtus-

Drita-

TBD-

TNS0

Differdange2

Levadia3

Iberia 19992

O. Ljubljana5

Inter Escaldes3

Din. Minsk0

KF Egnatia3

TBD-

Noah-

Strasbourg-

TBD-

Vllaznia4

Vikingur Reykjavik5

HB Torshavn1

Brondby2

Silkeborg4

KA Akureyri3

Novi Pazar2

Jagiellonia5

Zira FK2

Hajduk Split3

Atletic Escaldes2

Dinamo Tirana3

Shakhtar-

TBD-

Servette-

Anderlecht-

TBD-

Sheriff Tiraspol-

Aris Limassol5

Puskas Academy2

AEK1

H. Beer Sheva0

Viking12

Koper3

Cherno More0

Basaksehir5

FK Sarajevo2

Univ. Craiova5

Hibernians2

Spartak Trnava7

Crystal Palace-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Lugano-

TBD-

Celje-

Ostrava-

TBD-

Austria Vienna7

Spaeri0

Rakow Czestochowa6

Zilina1

Zhodino1

Maccabi Haifa4

FK Kauno Zalgiris3

Valur2

Arda3

HJK2

Oleksandriya0

Partizan6

TBD-

Hibernian-

TBD-

Legia-

Levski Sofia-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti1

Sabah Baku6

Ilves4

AZ Alkmaar8

Vaduz3

Dungannon1

Polissya Zhytomyr5

FC Santa Coloma3

Paks2

Maribor1

TBD-

Fiorentina-

AIK8

Paide Linnameeskond0

Pyunik Yerevan3

Gyor4

Decic2

Rapid Vienna6

Dundee Utd2

UNA Strassen0

Radnicki 19230

Klaksvik1

FC Kosice3

Neman4

TBD-

Rayo Vallecano-

Vardar2

Lausanne6

Zimbru Chisinau1

FC Astana3

St. Patricks3

Kalju2

TBD-

Besiktas-

Larne2

Prishtina1

Varazdin2

Santa Clara3

FC Ballkani5

Floriana3

St Josephs0

Shamrock Rovers4

Rosenborg7

Banga0

Hammarby2

Charleroi1

TBD-

Mainz-

Aktobe2

Sparta Prague5

Ararat-Armenia2

Universitatea Cluj1

Riga FC5

Dila Gori4

Sutjeska3

Beitar Jerusalem7

Hacken-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

Wolfsberger AC-

TBD-

Araz PFK4

Aris3

Omonia5

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Semi-finals

Hamrun-

TBD-

RFS-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Vikingur2

Linfield3

Breidablik-

TBD-

Milsami3

Virtus5

Drita-

TBD-

Differdange5

Levadia4

O. Ljubljana4

KF Egnatia2

TBD-

Noah-

Strasbourg-

TBD-

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Brondby4

Silkeborg2

Jagiellonia3

Hajduk Split3

Dinamo Tirana4

Shakhtar-

TBD-

Servette-

Anderlecht4

Sheriff Tiraspol1

Aris Limassol3

AEK5

Viking2

Basaksehir4

Univ. Craiova6

Spartak Trnava4

Crystal Palace-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Lugano4

Celje7

Ostrava5

Austria Vienna4

Rakow Czestochowa2

Maccabi Haifa1

FK Kauno Zalgiris0

Arda3

Partizan3

Hibernian4

TBD-

Legia-

Levski Sofia3

Sabah Baku0

AZ Alkmaar4

Vaduz0

Polissya Zhytomyr4

Paks2

TBD-

Fiorentina-

AIK2

Gyor3

Rapid Vienna5

Dundee Utd4

Klaksvik2

Neman3

TBD-

Rayo Vallecano-

Lausanne5

FC Astana1

St. Patricks3

Besiktas7

Larne0

Santa Clara3

FC Ballkani1

Shamrock Rovers4

Rosenborg1

Hammarby0

TBD-

Mainz-

Sparta Prague6

Ararat-Armenia2

Riga FC4

Beitar Jerusalem3

Hacken-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

Wolfsberger AC-

TBD-

Araz PFK0

Omonia9

Final

Hamrun3

RFS2

Shelbourne5

Linfield1

Breidablik5

Virtus2

Drita3

Differdange1

O. Ljubljana3

Noah7

Strasbourg3

Brondby2

Jagiellonia4

Dinamo Tirana1

Shakhtar3

Servette2

Anderlecht1

AEK3

Basaksehir2

Univ. Craiova5

Crystal Palace1

Fredrikstad0

Celje3

Ostrava0

Rakow Czestochowa3

Arda1

Hibernian4

Legia5

Levski Sofia1

AZ Alkmaar6

Polissya Zhytomyr2

Fiorentina6

Gyor2

Rapid Vienna3

Neman0

Rayo Vallecano5

Lausanne2

Besiktas1

Santa Clara1

Shamrock Rovers2

Rosenborg3

Mainz5

Sparta Prague2

Riga FC1

Hacken7

CFR Cluj3

Wolfsberger AC2

Omonia3

Mainz vs Rosenborg

Europe

Mainz

Rosenborg

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Mainz Compare

Rosenborg Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz

Rosenborg

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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