Sport Picks
Mainz vs Sigma Olomouc
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Mewa Arena, Mainz 
Match Events
22'
22'
Kliment J.
38'
38'
Tietz P.
38'
38'
Barath P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Mainz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mainz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mainz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Mainz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Mainz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mainz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Mainz Clean Sheet 68%
Sigma Olomouc Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.67 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 Conference League
Mainz vs Sigma Olomouc
2:0
Mar 12, 2026 Conference League
Sigma Olomouc vs Mainz
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mainz Compare
Top Goalscorer Posch S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sieb A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Sigma Olomouc Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz 95 / 100
Sigma Olomouc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz Sigma Olomouc
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mainz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mainz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Sigma Olomouc conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Mainz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Sigma Olomouc lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mainz VS Sigma Olomouc
3.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home) 19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Mainz
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9 Mainz
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Mainz
4 : 0 Paris FC
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 3
Sigma Olomouc
(Away) 20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3 Sparta Prague
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3 Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Prostejov
3 : 2 Sigma Olomouc
05 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 0 Bohemians 1905
29 Aug
Ostrava
1 : 0 Sigma Olomouc
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13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3 Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Prostejov
3 : 2 Sigma Olomouc
29 Aug
Ostrava
1 : 0 Sigma Olomouc
15 Aug
Slovacko
1 : 2 Sigma Olomouc
09 Aug
Artis Brno
1 : 2 Sigma Olomouc
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
