Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Hanche-Olsen A.
6'
6'
Jaquez L.
Assist: El Khannouss B.
38'
38'
Kohr D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with VfB Stuttgart advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mainz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mainz come out ahead of VfB Stuttgart on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mainz's way, sitting at 90%.
- Mainz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor VfB Stuttgart, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mainz Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.62 | 2.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Bundesliga
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 DFB Pokal
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Mainz
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Bundesliga
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Mainz
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mainz Compare
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaquez L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Karazor A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz 83 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mainz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mainz scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Mainz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mainz VS VfB Stuttgart
3.13 Goals Scored 3.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home) 12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9 Mainz
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
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12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Mainz
4 : 0 Paris FC
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
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VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
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12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0
