Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Hanche-Olsen A.
6'
6'
Jaquez L.
Assist: El Khannouss B.
38'
38'
Kohr D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with VfB Stuttgart advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mainz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- VfB Stuttgart have managed 2.88 goals a game lately — Mainz are scoring more at 4.5.
- Win probability leans Mainz's way, sitting at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor VfB Stuttgart, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mainz Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 4.5 | 2.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.50 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Bundesliga
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
2:2
Oct 29, 2025 DFB Pokal
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Mainz
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Bundesliga
Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Mainz
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mainz Compare
Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.25
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaquez L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Karazor A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz 83 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mainz scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Mainz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mainz VS VfB Stuttgart
4.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home) 25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0 Holstein Kiel
17 Jul
Mainz
4 : 1 Kaiserslautern
11 Jul
Eisbachtal
0 : 10 Mainz
04 Jul
Pfeddersheim
0 : 11 Mainz
16 May
Heidenheim
0 : 2 Mainz
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0 Holstein Kiel
17 Jul
Mainz
4 : 1 Kaiserslautern
10 May
Mainz
1 : 3 Union Berlin
25 Apr
Mainz
3 : 4 Bayern Munich
12 Apr
Mainz
0 : 1 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Engers0
Eintracht Frankfurt5
RW Essen0
Dortmund1
FC Viktoria Koln1
Paderborn3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Delmenhorst2
B. Monchengladbach3
Meuselwitz0
Karlsruher5
Eintracht Norderstedt0
St. Pauli1
Hansa Rostock0
Hoffenheim4
Gutersloh0
Union Berlin5
Arminia Bielefeld1
Werder Bremen0
Regensburg1
1. FC Koln2
Wehen2
Bayern Munich3
Energie Cottbus1
Hannover0
Sandhausen2
RB Leipzig4
Illertissen4
Nurnberg3
Saarbrucken1
Magdeburg3
Bahlinger0
Heidenheim5
Pirmasens1
Hamburger2
Hemelingen0
Wolfsburg9
FC 08 Homburg0
Holstein Kiel2
Hallescher0
Augsburg2
BFC Dynamo1
Bochum3
Dresden0
Mainz1
Braunschweig4
VfB Stuttgart5
Preussen Munster0
Hertha Berlin1
Ulm0
Elversberg1
Lohne0
Greuther Furth2
Rsv Eintracht0
Kaiserslautern7
1. FC Schweinfurt2
Dusseldorf4
Lotte0
Freiburg2
Lubeck1
Darmstadt2
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Schalke1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt1
Dortmund2
Paderborn2
Bayer Leverkusen4
B. Monchengladbach3
Karlsruher1
St. Pauli3
Hoffenheim2
Union Berlin2
Arminia Bielefeld1
1. FC Koln1
Bayern Munich4
Energie Cottbus1
RB Leipzig4
Illertissen0
Magdeburg3
Heidenheim0
Hamburger1
Wolfsburg0
Holstein Kiel1
Augsburg0
Bochum1
Mainz0
VfB Stuttgart2
Hertha Berlin3
Elversberg0
Greuther Furth0
Kaiserslautern1
Dusseldorf1
Freiburg3
Darmstadt4
Schalke0
1/8-finals
Dortmund0
Bayer Leverkusen1
B. Monchengladbach1
St. Pauli2
Union Berlin2
Bayern Munich3
RB Leipzig3
Magdeburg1
Hamburger1
Holstein Kiel2
Bochum0
VfB Stuttgart2
Hertha Berlin6
Kaiserslautern1
Freiburg2
Darmstadt0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen3
St. Pauli0
Bayern Munich2
RB Leipzig0
Holstein Kiel0
VfB Stuttgart3
Hertha Berlin1
Freiburg2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen0
Bayern Munich2
VfB Stuttgart2
Freiburg1
Final
Bayern Munich3
VfB Stuttgart0
