Sport Picks
Mainz vs Werder Bremen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Mewa Arena, Mainz 
AI Match Summary
Mainz host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Mainz at 2.77 goals for, 1.1 against; Werder Bremen at 1.63 for, 1.7 against. Past meetings favor Werder Bremen slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.69 - 1.38) back Mainz to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Mainz come out ahead of Werder Bremen on wins alone.
- Mainz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 19 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.77 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mainz found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Werder Bremen conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Mainz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home)Werder Bremen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 9 | Mainz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 10 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 11 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | 6 |
| 14 | Schalke | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | 4 |
| 17 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 0 |
