Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz W vs Werder Bremen W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Bruchwegstadion, Mainz
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Shimada M.
Assist: Dhont E.
30' Event
Jaron I.
Penalty Missed
31'
Jackson S.

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen W in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Werder Bremen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mainz W
15%
Draws
85%
Werder Bremen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Werder Bremen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mainz W lately — more wins on the board than Werder Bremen W.
  • Win probability leans Werder Bremen W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mainz W Clean Sheet 10%
Werder Bremen W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz W Werder Bremen W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.36 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Werder Bremen W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheis S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Werder Bremen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimada M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaron I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz W 10 / 100
Werder Bremen W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz W Werder Bremen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Werder Bremen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mainz W scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Werder Bremen W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Werder Bremen W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mainz W VS Werder Bremen W
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz W

(Home)
18 Sept
Mainz W
2 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
31 Aug
Bayern Munich W
2 : 0
Mainz W
24 Aug
Mainz W
1 : 2
Werder Bremen W
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Werder Bremen W

(Away)
21 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 1
VfB Stuttgart W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
06 Sept
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0
RB Leipzig W
24 Aug
Mainz W
1 : 2
Werder Bremen W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Eintracht Frankfurt W 5 4 1 0 11:5 13
3 Wolfsburg W 5 4 0 1 16:7 12
4 Werder Bremen W 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
5 Koln W 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
6 Bayer Leverkusen W 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
7 VfB Stuttgart W 5 2 2 1 8:8 8
8 Freiburg W 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Hamburger W 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
10 RB Leipzig W 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
11 Hoffenheim W 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
12 Union Berlin W 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 5 0 2 3 8:19 2
14 Mainz W 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)