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Mainz W vs Wolfsburg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Bruchwegstadion, Mainz
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mainz W host Wolfsburg W in the Bundesliga Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Wolfsburg W have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Mainz W have conceded 1.68 and scored 2.21. Past meetings favor Wolfsburg W slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2024, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.44) point toward Wolfsburg W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Mainz W
15%
Draws
68%
Wolfsburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolfsburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wolfsburg W come out ahead of Mainz W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wolfsburg W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mainz W Clean Sheet 10%
Wolfsburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz W Wolfsburg W
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 12 26
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.21 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
Mainz W vs Wolfsburg W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz W 10 / 100
Wolfsburg W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz W Wolfsburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolfsburg W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Mainz W's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Wolfsburg W let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Mainz W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mainz W VS Wolfsburg W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz W

(Home)
03 Oct
RB Leipzig W
5 : 0
Mainz W
26 Sept
Ingolstadt W
1 : 6
Mainz W
18 Sept
Mainz W
2 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
Page 1 of 6

Wolfsburg W

(Away)
04 Oct
Wolfsburg W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
SC Sand W
0 : 6
Wolfsburg W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Hoffenheim W
2 : 1
Wolfsburg W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)