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Mairena vs Arcos CF

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 game between Mairena and Arcos CF finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Mairena
20%
Draws
15%
Arcos CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mairena come out ahead of Arcos CF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mairena a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mairena Clean Sheet 20%
Arcos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mairena Arcos CF
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Arcos CF
5:1
Dec 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Mairena
3:2
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Arcos CF
2:2
Nov 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Mairena
1:1
May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Mairena
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mairena 76 / 100
Arcos CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mairena Arcos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Mairena scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Arcos CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 37 matches.

Mairena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arcos CF
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mairena

(Home)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

Arcos CF

(Away)
26 Aug
Arcos CF
0 : 1
Antoniano
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1
Arcos CF
30 May
Arcos CF
1 : 1
La Palma CF
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)