Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Northern NSW Cooks Square Park

Maitland

3 - 1

Adamstown Rosebud

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Wara S.

56'

Brown J.

64'

Crowley B.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maitland in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maitland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Maitland

Draws

Adamstown Rosebud

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maitland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Maitland have won more games recently than Adamstown Rosebud.
Maitland are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Maitland here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Maitland Clean Sheet 16%

Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maitland	Adamstown Rosebud
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	8
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	15
Goals Scored	1.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebud

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Apr 11, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Adamstown Rosebud vs Maitland

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

2:5

May 31, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebud

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

3:1

Feb 28, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Adamstown Rosebud vs Maitland

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

3:4

Jun 22, 2024 NPL Northern NSW

Adamstown Rosebud vs Maitland

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maitland Compare

Top Goalscorer Wara S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lundy R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Adamstown Rosebud Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maitland 84 / 100

Adamstown Rosebud 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maitland Adamstown Rosebud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maitland scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.20 goals per match.

Maitland has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Adamstown Rosebud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maitland VS Adamstown Rosebud

1.5 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic FC	18	12	4	2	49:22	40
2	Weston Workers Bears	19	11	3	5	44:31	36
3	Maitland	18	10	3	5	34:28	33
4	Belmont Swansea United	17	9	5	3	40:30	32
5	Edgeworth Eagles FC	17	8	5	4	34:29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36:31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas FC	19	6	4	9	35:30	22
8	Valentine	18	5	4	9	18:36	19
9	Newcastle Olympic	18	4	6	8	33:32	18
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25:36	17
11	Kahibah	18	4	2	12	28:46	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	18	4	2	12	24:49	14