Sport Picks
Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebud
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Cooks Square Park, Maitland 
Match Events
38'
38'
Wara S.
56'
56'
Brown J.
64'
64'
Crowley B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Maitland in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maitland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maitland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Maitland have won more games recently than Adamstown Rosebud.
- Maitland are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Maitland here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Maitland Clean Sheet 18%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maitland | Adamstown Rosebud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebud
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Maitland
2:5
May 31, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebud
3:1
Feb 28, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Maitland
3:4
Jun 22, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Maitland
2:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maitland Compare
Top Goalscorer Wara S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lundy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Adamstown Rosebud Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maitland 58 / 100
Adamstown Rosebud 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maitland Adamstown Rosebud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maitland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Maitland scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 6.20 goals per match.
Adamstown Rosebud has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Maitland stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maitland VS Adamstown Rosebud
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Maitland
(Home) 13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0 Maitland
06 Sept
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 1 Maitland
30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1 Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
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30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1 Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
25 Jul
Maitland
0 : 1 Broadmeadow Magic FC
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2 Fremantle City
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Adamstown Rosebud
(Away) 16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
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16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
27 Jun
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
24 Jun
Kahibah
1 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
