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Maitland vs Valentine

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Cooks Square Park, Maitland
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Lundy R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Maitland and Valentine finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maitland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maitland
15%
Draws
45%
Valentine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valentine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maitland come out ahead of Valentine on wins alone.
  • Maitland are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Maitland Clean Sheet 20%
Valentine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maitland Valentine
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Valentine
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Maitland
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Maitland
1:6
Feb 15, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Valentine
3:3
May 18, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Maitland
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maitland Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundy R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Valentine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maitland 40 / 100
Valentine 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maitland Valentine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maitland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maitland found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Valentine let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Maitland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maitland VS Valentine
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maitland

(Home)
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
12 Aug
Kahibah
1 : 2
Maitland
09 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 2
Maitland
25 Jul
Maitland
0 : 1
Broadmeadow Magic FC
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2
Fremantle City
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Valentine

(Away)
16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0
Weston Workers Bears
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2
Valentine
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1
Valentine
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2
Kahibah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)