Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2023/2024

Laanemaa Haapsalu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maksatransport play Laanemaa Haapsalu in the Estonian Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maksatransport averaged 2.31 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. Laanemaa Haapsalu averaged 1.32 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. In past meetings, Maksatransport won 0, Laanemaa Haapsalu won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 29, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Maksatransport and 3.38 for Laanemaa Haapsalu. This points to a Maksatransport double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Maksatransport

15%

Draws

38%

Laanemaa Haapsalu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maksatransport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Maksatransport picked up more points recently compared to Laanemaa Haapsalu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 3.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 51%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Maksatransport Clean Sheet 10%

Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maksatransport	Laanemaa Haapsalu
Matches Played	13	38
Wins	5	9
Draws	0	2
Losses	8	27
Goals Scored	2.31	1.32
Goals Conceded	2.69	3.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	6.00	3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2023 Estonian Cup

Maksatransport vs Laanemaa Haapsalu

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maksatransport Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Siim J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Veski S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maksatransport 44 / 100

Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maksatransport Laanemaa Haapsalu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maksatransport or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maksatransport attacking → ← attacking Laanemaa Haapsalu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maksatransport scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Laanemaa Haapsalu let in goals in 92% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Maksatransport went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Laanemaa Haapsalu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 29

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

6.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63