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Stadium Background

Maksimir vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Maksimir Logo

Maksimir

1 - 0
FT
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maksimir in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maksimir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Maksimir
20%
Draws
57%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlovac have won more games recently than Maksimir.
  • Win probability leans Karlovac's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Karlovac have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Maksimir Clean Sheet 23%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maksimir Karlovac
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2022 3. HNL Center
Maksimir vs Karlovac
1:0
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Maksimir
2:0
May 22, 2021 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Maksimir
1:0
Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL Center
Maksimir vs Karlovac
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maksimir 10 / 100
Karlovac 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maksimir Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karlovac conceded in 80% of 45 recent games.

Maksimir found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Maksimir remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlovac
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maksimir

(Home)
17 Sept
Maksimir
0 : 4
Rijeka
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
07 Aug
Kustosija
4 : 1
Maksimir
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Maksimir
4 : 5
Ravnice
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Karlovac

(Away)
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Dugopolje
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Opatija
26 Aug
Tigar Sveta Nedelja
1 : 4
Karlovac
21 Aug
Sesvete
3 : 0
Karlovac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)