Sport Picks
Malacateco vs Antigua
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán 
Match Events
22'
22'
Garzaro S.
27'
27'
Sub
Paz V. In: Angulo Grueso B. A.
Out: Paz V.
30'
30'
Morales A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Malacateco and Antigua finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antigua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 16%
Antigua Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malacateco | Antigua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Malacateco
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Malacateco
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
3:1
Apr 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malacateco Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Roskopf M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Antigua Compare
Top Goalscorer Garzaro S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maziero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malacateco 36 / 100
Antigua 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malacateco Antigua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ANT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malacateco found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Antigua let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Malacateco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Malacateco VS Antigua
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Malacateco
(Home) 08 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 2 Xelaju
02 Aug
Guastatoya
4 : 0 Malacateco
26 Jul
Malacateco
1 : 1 Coban Imperial
26 Apr
Malacateco
1 : 0 Comunicaciones
20 Apr
Antigua
2 : 1 Malacateco
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 2 Xelaju
26 Jul
Malacateco
1 : 1 Coban Imperial
26 Apr
Malacateco
1 : 0 Comunicaciones
17 Apr
Malacateco
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
03 Apr
Malacateco
1 : 0 Guastatoya
Page 1 of 3
Antigua
(Away) 09 Aug
Antigua
2 : 0 Guastatoya
05 Aug
Antigua
0 : 2 Esteli
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1 Antigua
25 Jul
Antigua
3 : 1 Marquense
03 May
Comunicaciones
2 : 0 Antigua
Page 1 of 6
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1 Antigua
03 May
Comunicaciones
2 : 0 Antigua
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2 Antigua
16 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 0 Antigua
04 Apr
Aurora F.C.
0 : 2 Antigua
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
