Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malacateco vs Antigua

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Maziero A.
23'
Morales A.
28'
Robinson A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Malacateco and Antigua finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antigua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Malacateco
15%
Draws
48%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antigua come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
  • Model gives Malacateco a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 14%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malacateco Antigua
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
0:2
Apr 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Malacateco
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Malacateco
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malacateco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Maziero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez K. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacateco 41 / 100
Antigua 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malacateco Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malacateco found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Antigua conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Malacateco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malacateco VS Antigua
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malacateco

(Home)
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Malacateco
24 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
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Antigua

(Away)
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3
Antigua
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 8 7 0 1 19:8 21
2 Municipal 9 6 2 1 13:5 20
3 Guastatoya 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
4 Deportivo San Pedro 9 5 2 2 12:7 17
5 Deportivo Mixco 9 5 0 4 16:15 15
6 Marquense 9 4 1 4 10:13 13
7 Xelaju 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
8 Aurora F.C. 9 3 0 6 13:16 9
9 Malacateco 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
10 Comunicaciones 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
11 Coban Imperial 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
12 Suchitepequez 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)