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Malacateco vs Aurora F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malacateco host Aurora F.C. in the Liga Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Malacateco have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Aurora F.C.'s 1 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Malacateco have won 1 to Aurora F.C.'s 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Aurora F.C.. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Malacateco
15%
Draws
51%
Aurora F.C.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurora F.C. come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 18%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malacateco Aurora F.C.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Malacateco
1:0
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Aurora F.C.
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Malacateco
1:0
Dec 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Malacateco
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Aurora F.C.
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacateco 32 / 100
Aurora F.C. 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malacateco Aurora F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora F.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malacateco found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Aurora F.C. let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Malacateco went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malacateco VS Aurora F.C.
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malacateco

(Home)
15 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 1
Malacateco
11 Oct
Malacateco
2 : 0
Guastatoya
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 6

Aurora F.C.

(Away)
18 Oct
Aurora F.C.
3 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
14 Oct
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 15 9 2 4 28:20 29
2 Guastatoya 15 8 3 4 21:17 27
3 Municipal 14 7 5 2 20:10 26
4 Marquense 15 7 3 5 17:18 24
5 Deportivo Mixco 14 7 2 5 26:22 23
6 Deportivo San Pedro 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
7 Xelaju 15 6 3 6 27:20 21
8 Aurora F.C. 15 7 0 8 24:24 21
9 Coban Imperial 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
10 Malacateco 14 4 3 7 15:21 15
11 Comunicaciones 14 4 2 8 17:23 14
12 Suchitepequez 15 1 5 9 16:32 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)