Sport Picks

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Malacateco vs Zacapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán
Wed, Feb 19, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malacateco host Zacapa in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. Malacateco are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Malacateco at 0.91 goals for, 1.24 against; Zacapa at 0.36 for, 1.86 against. Past meetings favor Malacateco slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 0.88) point toward Malacateco. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Malacateco
20%
Draws
10%
Zacapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malacateco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malacateco come out ahead of Zacapa on wins alone.
  • 70% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 20%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malacateco Zacapa
Matches Played 33 14
Wins 9 0
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.91 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Zacapa
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Malacateco
0:1
Apr 22, 2024 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Zacapa
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Malacateco
4:0
Apr 1, 2012 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Zacapa
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacateco 31 / 100
Zacapa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malacateco Zacapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malacateco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malacateco scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Zacapa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Malacateco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malacateco VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malacateco

(Home)
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Malacateco
Page 1 of 7

Zacapa

(Away)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)