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Malaga B vs CD Nerja

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
Malaga B Logo

Malaga B

4 - 0
FT
CD Nerja Logo

CD Nerja

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between Malaga B and CD Nerja finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malaga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Malaga B
20%
Draws
29%
CD Nerja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Malaga B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Malaga B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 18%
CD Nerja Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B CD Nerja
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.55 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs CD Nerja
4:0
Dec 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Nerja vs Malaga B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 58 / 100
CD Nerja 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B CD Nerja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malaga B scored in 76% of their last 42 outings.

CD Nerja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Malaga B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1
Jaen
Page 1 of 9

CD Nerja

(Away)
13 May
Malaga B
4 : 0
CD Nerja
05 May
CD Nerja
0 : 0
Huetor Tajar
01 May
Antequera
4 : 0
CD Nerja
28 Apr
CD Nerja
1 : 0
Motril
22 Apr
Alhaurin
3 : 0
CD Nerja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)