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Malaga B vs Churriana de la Vega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malaga B host Churriana de la Vega in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Malaga B at 1.3 goals for, 1.8 against; Churriana de la Vega at 0.97 for, 1.3 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.13) point toward Churriana de la Vega. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Malaga B
15%
Draws
32%
Churriana de la Vega
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Churriana de la Vega lately — more wins on the board than Malaga B.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Malaga B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 20%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Churriana de la Vega
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 85 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Churriana de la Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Churriana de la Vega conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Malaga B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Churriana de la Vega registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS Churriana de la Vega
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
Page 1 of 6

Churriana de la Vega

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3
UD San Pedro
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)