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Malaga B vs Jaen

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Rosa M.
44' Event
Siverio M.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Cabello M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Malaga B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malaga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Malaga B
6%
Draws
90%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaen lately — more wins on the board than Malaga B.
  • Win probability leans Jaen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Malaga B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Jaen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.57 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Jaen
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Jaen vs Malaga B
3:0
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Malaga B
1:3
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Jaen
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Jaen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Jaen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 10 / 100
Jaen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jaen has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Malaga B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS Jaen
1.43 Goals Scored 1.25
2.57 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1
Jaen
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Jaen

(Away)
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)