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Malaga B vs Melilla

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Chamorro A.
48' Event
Sanchez R.
55' Event
Perea G.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Malaga B and Melilla finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Malaga B
39%
Draws
30%
Melilla
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Malaga B haven't matched Melilla's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%
Melilla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Melilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 4 12
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Melilla
3:3
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Malaga B
2:1
Aug 5, 2019 Club Friendly
Malaga B vs Melilla
3:3
Mar 31, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Malaga B
2:1
Nov 11, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Melilla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamorro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavarria M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Claverias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 30 / 100
Melilla 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Malaga B found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Melilla conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Malaga B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS Melilla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1
Jaen
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Melilla

(Away)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4
Linares
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
Melilla
12 Apr
Melilla
0 : 1
Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1
Melilla
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)