Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Chamorro A.
48'
48'
Sanchez R.
55'
55'
Perea G.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Malaga B and Melilla finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Melilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Malaga B haven't matched Melilla's recent run of results.
- Malaga B are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 12%
Melilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malaga B | Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Melilla
3:3
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Malaga B
2:1
Aug 5, 2019 Club Friendly
Malaga B vs Melilla
3:3
Mar 31, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Malaga B
2:1
Nov 11, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Melilla
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malaga B Compare
Top Goalscorer Chamorro A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Melilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Chavarria M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Claverias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malaga B 35 / 100
Melilla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malaga B Melilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Malaga B found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Melilla conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Malaga B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Malaga B VS Melilla
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Malaga B
(Home) 20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2 Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Malaga B
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1 Malaga B
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2 Antoniano
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1 Jaen
14 Mar
Malaga B
1 : 2 Xerez CD
Page 1 of 3
Melilla
(Away) 20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1 Conil
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2 Melilla
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2 Melilla
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 Melilla
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1 Melilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
