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Malaga B vs UD Carboneras

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between Malaga B and UD Carboneras finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malaga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Malaga B
20%
Draws
0%
UD Carboneras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Carboneras haven't matched Malaga B's recent run of results.
  • Malaga B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Malaga B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 16%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B UD Carboneras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 18 30
Goals Scored 1.23 0
Goals Conceded 1.83 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs UD Carboneras
3:0
Oct 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Malaga B
0:1
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs UD Carboneras
5:0
Dec 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Malaga B
1:4
Jan 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Malaga B
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 84 / 100
UD Carboneras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B UD Carboneras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Carboneras conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: UD Carboneras has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Malaga B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
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UD Carboneras

(Away)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)