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Malaga City vs Atletico de Porcuna

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Valero J.
88'
Burgos J.

AI Match Summary

Malaga City host Atletico de Porcuna in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Malaga City have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Atletico de Porcuna's 1.25 scored and 0.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Malaga City slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.18, favoring Atletico de Porcuna. Atletico de Porcuna in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Malaga City
20%
Draws
38%
Atletico de Porcuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malaga City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico de Porcuna has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Malaga City.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Malaga City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Malaga City Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga City Atletico de Porcuna
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga City vs Atletico de Porcuna
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Malaga City
0:2
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Malaga City
2:1
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga City vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga City Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Valero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga City 42 / 100
Atletico de Porcuna 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga City Atletico de Porcuna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga City scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Atletico de Porcuna let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Malaga City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atletico de Porcuna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico de Porcuna
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malaga B34265376:2283
2Jaen34227560:3573
3Motril34187957:3561
4Torre del Mar34187948:3061
5Huetor Tajar341761135:2857
6Huetor Vega34169949:3657
7Mijas Las Lagunas341412853:3554
8CD Torreperogil3413111042:3750
9Mancha341371437:3946
10Marbelli341191432:4242
11El Palo3410111336:4941
12Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3410101443:4440
13Arenas Armilla349111440:4938
14Martos341151828:4138
15Atletico de Porcuna34991645:5536
16Ejido34762136:6827
17CP Almeria34722535:7523
18Malaga City34562331:6321