Sport Picks
Malaga Juniors vs Marbelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
5'
5'
Franco R.
15'
15'
Caballero Gines M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Malaga Juniors and Marbelli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbelli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marbelli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Marbelli come out ahead of Malaga Juniors on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Marbelli's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Marbelli here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 20%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malaga Juniors | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 23 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Marbelli
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Marbelli
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Malaga Juniors
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malaga Juniors Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Marbelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Franco R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malaga Juniors 10 / 100
Marbelli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malaga Juniors Marbelli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marbelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marbelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Malaga Juniors scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Malaga Juniors VS Marbelli
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Malaga Juniors
(Home) 04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0 Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1 CP Almeria
27 Apr
Malaga Juniors
4 : 1 Mancha
Page 1 of 3
Marbelli
(Away) 04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2 Marbelli
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Almeria B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada CF B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Churriana de la Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
