Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Dotor C.
Assist: Cruz J.
34'
34'
Salinas J.
37'
37'
Sub
Comesana S. In: Gueye P.
Out: Comesana S.
AI Match Summary
Villarreal in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarreal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Villarreal lately — more wins on the board than Malaga.
- Win probability leans Villarreal's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Malaga Clean Sheet 14%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malaga | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 LaLiga
Malaga vs Villarreal
1:3
Apr 1, 2018 LaLiga
Malaga vs Villarreal
1:0
Nov 5, 2017 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Malaga
2:0
Aug 11, 2017 Club Friendly
Malaga vs Villarreal
1:0
Feb 12, 2017 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Malaga
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malaga Compare
Top Goalscorer Dotor C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Villarreal Compare
Top Goalscorer Moleiro A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gueye P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malaga 19 / 100
Villarreal 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malaga Villarreal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villarreal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malaga found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).
Villarreal has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Villarreal lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Malaga VS Villarreal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Malaga
(Home) 20 Sept
Getafe
1 : 0 Malaga
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3 Villarreal
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 Malaga
06 Sept
Malaga
0 : 0 Levante
30 Aug
Real Madrid
4 : 0 Malaga
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3 Villarreal
06 Sept
Malaga
0 : 0 Levante
24 Aug
Malaga
1 : 1 Dep. A Coruna
12 Aug
Malaga
2 : 2 Fulham
06 Aug
Malaga
4 : 2 Al Arabi (Qatar)
Page 1 of 4
Villarreal
(Away) 20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1 Levante
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3 Villarreal
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2 Betis
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3 Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3 Villarreal
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0 Villarreal
23 Aug
Atl. Madrid
2 : 2 Villarreal
16 Aug
Racing Santander
2 : 2 Villarreal
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
