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Malahide United vs Dundalk

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Club Friendly 2024 Gannon Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
O'Kane R.
18' Event
Muller H.
41' Event
O’Shaughnessy A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Malahide United and Dundalk finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundalk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malahide United
15%
Draws
49%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dundalk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dundalk come out ahead of Malahide United on wins alone.
  • Malahide United are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Malahide United Clean Sheet 19%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malahide United Dundalk
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Malahide United vs Dundalk
1:3
Aug 24, 2012 FAI Cup
Malahide United vs Dundalk
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malahide United Compare

Top Goalscorer O’Shaughnessy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Dundalk Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Kane R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muller H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malahide United 36 / 100
Dundalk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malahide United Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Malahide United's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dundalk conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Dundalk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dundalk
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malahide United

(Home)
05 Feb
Malahide United
2 : 4
Drogheda
21 Jan
Malahide United
1 : 3
Dundalk
27 Aug
Malahide United
0 : 6
Waterford
31 Jul
Salthill
2 : 3
Malahide United
23 Jul
Maynooth University
4 : 0
Malahide United
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Dundalk

(Away)
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
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