Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malahide United vs Dundalk

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Shanahan G.
45' Event
Griffin M.
76' Event
Shannon L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Dundalk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malahide United
15%
Draws
49%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dundalk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Malahide United haven't matched Dundalk's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Malahide United's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Dundalk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundalk, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Malahide United Clean Sheet 19%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malahide United Dundalk
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Malahide United vs Dundalk
1:3
Aug 24, 2012 FAI Cup
Malahide United vs Dundalk
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malahide United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Dundalk Compare

Top Goalscorer Shanahan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Griffin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malahide United 36 / 100
Dundalk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malahide United Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Malahide United found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Dundalk conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Dundalk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dundalk
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malahide United

(Home)
05 Feb
Malahide United
2 : 4
Drogheda
21 Jan
Malahide United
1 : 3
Dundalk
27 Aug
Malahide United
0 : 6
Waterford
31 Jul
Salthill
2 : 3
Malahide United
23 Jul
Maynooth University
4 : 0
Malahide United
Page 1 of 6

Dundalk

(Away)
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Phoenix 4
Lucan Utd 3
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton AFC -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Cherry Orchard 2
Verona 0
TBD -
Longford -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks CY -
Blarney Utd -
TBD -
College Corinthians 1
Malahide United 2
Avondale United 3
Sheriff YC 1
Clonmel Celtic 0
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Ballymun Utd 1
Mayfield Utd 2
Douglas Hall 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Crumlin Utd 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
TBD -
St. Patricks -
1/16-finals
Derry City 4
Finn Harps 0
Phoenix 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 1
Everton AFC 0
Salthill 0
Mervue United 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 0
Athlone 1
Cork City 6
Cherry Orchard 2
Longford 0
Bray 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
St. Patricks CY 0
Blarney Utd 1
Malahide United 4
Avondale United 3
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen 0
Bohemians 5
Drogheda 6
Mayfield Utd 1
Douglas Hall 3
Wexford 4
Monaghan United 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Crumlin Utd 0
St. Patricks 3
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 0
Mervue United 4
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Shelbourne 3
Dundalk 4
Malahide United 0
Avondale United 0
Bohemians 1
Drogheda 1
Wexford 0
Monaghan United -
St. Patricks -
Quarter-finals
Derry City 7
Mervue United 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 0
Drogheda 1
St. Patricks 2
Semi-finals
Derry City 4
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 3
Final
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 2