Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Malahide United in this FAI Cup 2014 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Malahide United lately — more wins on the board than Tolka.
- Tolka are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Malahide United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Malahide United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Malahide United Clean Sheet 10%
Tolka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malahide United | Tolka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 17 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.62 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2014 FAI Cup
Malahide United vs Tolka
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malahide United 26 / 100
Tolka 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malahide United Tolka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tolka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tolka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.
Malahide United's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Tolka registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Malahide United VS Tolka
1.38 Goals Scored 1.29
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Malahide United
(Home) 05 Feb
Malahide United
2 : 4 Drogheda
21 Jan
Malahide United
1 : 3 Dundalk
27 Aug
Malahide United
0 : 6 Waterford
31 Jul
Salthill
2 : 3 Malahide United
23 Jul
Maynooth University
4 : 0 Malahide United
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05 Feb
Malahide United
2 : 4 Drogheda
21 Jan
Malahide United
1 : 3 Dundalk
27 Aug
Malahide United
0 : 6 Waterford
02 Sept
Malahide United
5 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
09 Feb
Malahide United
0 : 6 Cork City
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Tolka
(Away) 19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3 Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0 Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
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19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3 Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0 Tolka
25 Apr
Malahide United
2 : 1 Tolka
08 Jun
College Corinthians
3 : 0 Tolka
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Leixlip United 1
St. Patricks CY 2
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
St Mochta's -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Avondale United 4
Carrigaline Utd 1
TBD -
Collinstown -
University College Cork 2
Swilly Rovers 1
St Francis 1
St. Michaels 2
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Belgrove 1
Drumcondra FC 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Cockhill -
Phoenix 3
Bluebell Utd 2
TBD -
Ballynanty Rovers -
Malahide United 2
Tolka 1
TBD -
Mayfield Utd -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 3
St. Patricks CY 0
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 6
St Mochta's 0
Limerick 1
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Collinstown 0
University College Cork 2
St. Michaels 4
Wexford 1
Bray 0
Belgrove 0
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 0
Athlone 0
Longford 2
Galway United 3
UC Dublin 1
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 3
Drogheda 4
Cockhill 2
Phoenix 1
Ballynanty Rovers 2
Malahide United 3
Mayfield Utd 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Derry City 2
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 2
Bohemians 3
Avondale United 2
St. Michaels 0
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shamrock Rovers 3
Longford 0
Galway United 1
Dundalk 2
Drogheda 4
Ballynanty Rovers 0
Malahide United 0
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Finn Harps 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
Drogheda 2
Derry City 7
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 6
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Derry City 3
Final
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 0
