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Malatya vs Adanaspor AS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kanarya T.
Assist: Saridogan A.
23' Event
Saridogan A.
Assist: Yilmaz E.
24' Event
Kanarya T.
Assist: Gurdal O.

AI Match Summary

Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Malatya
15%
Draws
14%
Adanaspor AS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malatya lately — more wins on the board than Adanaspor AS.
  • Model gives Malatya a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Malatya Clean Sheet 20%
Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malatya Adanaspor AS
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 20 3
Draws 6 0
Losses 7 25
Goals Scored 2.06 0.46
Goals Conceded 0.94 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Malatya vs Adanaspor AS
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanarya T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saridogan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Adanaspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malatya 85 / 100
Adanaspor AS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malatya Adanaspor AS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adanaspor AS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Malatya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Malatya scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malatya VS Adanaspor AS
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malatya

(Home)
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1
Gelecek Siirt
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
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Adanaspor AS

(Away)
07 Oct
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Adana Adaletgucu
03 Oct
Adanaspor AS
1 : 2
Mazidagi
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
20 Sept
Adanaspor AS
1 : 3
Karakopru
16 Sept
Adanaspor AS
:
Yeni Malatyaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 5 5 0 0 22:2 15
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 5 0 0 5 0:15 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)