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Stadium Background

Malatya vs Kirikkale FK

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Uzun O.
Assist: Basravi Y.
66' Event
Nalbantoglu E.
79' Event
Kisacik B.
Assist: Polat Y.

AI Match Summary

Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Malatya
15%
Draws
7%
Kirikkale FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Malatya have won more games recently than Kirikkale FK.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Malatya taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Malatya have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Malatya Clean Sheet 20%
Kirikkale FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malatya Kirikkale FK
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.84 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Malatya vs Kirikkale FK
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Kirikkale FK vs Malatya
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Kirikkale FK
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalbantoglu E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uzun O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kirikkale FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kisacik B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malatya 85 / 100
Kirikkale FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malatya Kirikkale FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kirikkale FK conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Malatya scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Malatya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malatya VS Kirikkale FK
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Malatya

(Home)
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
06 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1
Malatya
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
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Kirikkale FK

(Away)
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
16 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 3
Kirsehir SK
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
06 Sept
Kirikkale FK
1 : 3
Karakopru
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Nigde 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
3 Karakopru 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
4 Mazidagi 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Erciyes 38 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
6 Kirsehir SK 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
7 Bitlis 1916 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
8 Adana Adaletgucu 4 2 0 2 10:5 6
9 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
10 Agri 1970 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
11 Silifke 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
12 Osmaniyespor 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
13 Karaman FK 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
14 Yozgat 4 1 0 3 2:9 3
15 Kirikkale FK 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
17 Adanaspor AS 4 0 0 4 2:18 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 0 0 4 0:12 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)