Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malatya vs Yeni Malatyaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
3 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malatya host Yeni Malatyaspor in the 3. Lig Group 3. This has Malatya written all over it on paper. Yeni Malatyaspor have shipped 2.7 goals a game lately, while Malatya have conceded 0.88 and scored 2.09. Head-to-head, Malatya have won 2 to Yeni Malatyaspor's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 0.94) point toward Malatya. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Malatya
15%
Draws
0%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Yeni Malatyaspor haven't matched Malatya's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Malatya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Malatya Clean Sheet 20%
Yeni Malatyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malatya Yeni Malatyaspor
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 29
Goals Scored 2.09 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Malatya vs Yeni Malatyaspor
3:0
Sep 3, 2025 Turkish Cup
Malatya vs Yeni Malatyaspor
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malatya 85 / 100
Yeni Malatyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malatya Yeni Malatyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeni Malatyaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Malatya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Yeni Malatyaspor has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malatya VS Yeni Malatyaspor
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malatya

(Home)
11 Oct
Malatya
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1
Gelecek Siirt
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
Page 1 of 7

Yeni Malatyaspor

(Away)
11 Oct
Malatya
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
03 Oct
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Karakopru
27 Sept
Adana Adaletgucu
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
16 Sept
Adanaspor AS
:
Yeni Malatyaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)