Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malavan vs Foolad

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium, Bandar-e Anzali
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Alinejad M.
46'
Sub
Ramezani A. In: Fakhrian M.
Out: Ramezani A.
51' Event
Mahrooghi E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Malavan
20%
Draws
46%
Foolad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foolad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Foolad lately — more wins on the board than Malavan.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Foolad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Malavan Clean Sheet 26%
Foolad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malavan Foolad
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.78 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Foolad
2:2
Aug 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Malavan
0:1
May 15, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Foolad
1:1
Jan 2, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Malavan
2:1
Feb 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Malavan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malavan Compare

Top Goalscorer Fakhrian M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

Foolad Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahrooghi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qureshi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malavan 30 / 100
Foolad 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malavan Foolad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foolad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Malavan found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (27 games).

Foolad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 27 matches.

Malavan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malavan VS Foolad
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malavan

(Home)
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Malavan
2 : 1
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

Foolad

(Away)
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0
Foolad
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3
Foolad
19 Aug
Foolad
1 : 1
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)