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Malawi U17 vs Kenya U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2017
Fri, Jun 24, 2016
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2017. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Malawi U17 at 1.09 goals for, 2.27 against; Kenya U17 at 0.5 for, 3 against. Head-to-head, Malawi U17 have won 0 to Kenya U17's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2016, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Malawi U17. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Malawi U17
15%
Draws
25%
Kenya U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malawi U17 lately — more wins on the board than Kenya U17.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Malawi U17 taking it.
  • Malawi U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Malawi U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Kenya U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi U17 Kenya U17
Matches Played 11 4
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 1
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.09 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.27 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Kenya U17 vs Malawi U17
0:0
Jun 24, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Malawi U17 vs Kenya U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi U17 49 / 100
Kenya U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi U17 Kenya U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya U17 let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Kenya U17's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Malawi U17 scored in 55% of their last 11 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Malawi U17 VS Kenya U17
1 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi U17

(Home)
26 Oct
Malawi U17
0 : 3
South Africa U17
07 Dec
Zambia U17
3 : 1
Malawi U17
22 Sept
Botswana U17
2 : 1
Malawi U17
08 Sept
Malawi U17
2 : 1
Botswana U17
01 Nov
Malawi U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
Page 1 of 3

Kenya U17

(Away)
20 Aug
Kenya U17
1 : 2
Cameroon U17
07 Aug
Cameroon U17
7 : 0
Kenya U17
24 Apr
Kenya U17
0 : 0
Somalia U17
09 Apr
Somalia U17
3 : 1
Kenya U17

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -