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Stadium Background

Malawi U17 vs Spain U17

World World

World Cup U17 2009 Sani Abacha Stadium, Kano
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Carmona A.
54'
Sub
Hanganda K. In: Mwanyongo M.
Out: Hanganda K.
59'
Mulimbika F.

AI Match Summary

Spain U17 in this World Cup U17 2009 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Malawi U17
15%
Draws
64%
Spain U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain U17 lately — more wins on the board than Malawi U17.
  • Model gives Spain U17 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Spain U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Malawi U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi U17 Spain U17
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 2 22
Draws 0 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.09 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2009 World Cup U17
Malawi U17 vs Spain U17
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malawi U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Milanzi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Spain U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Morata A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carmona A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi U17 10 / 100
Spain U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi U17 Spain U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Malawi U17's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Spain U17 has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Malawi U17 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malawi U17 VS Spain U17
0 Goals Scored 3
3 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi U17

(Home)
26 Oct
Malawi U17
0 : 3
South Africa U17
07 Dec
Zambia U17
3 : 1
Malawi U17
22 Sept
Botswana U17
2 : 1
Malawi U17
08 Sept
Malawi U17
2 : 1
Botswana U17
01 Nov
Malawi U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
Page 1 of 3

Spain U17

(Away)
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
31 May
Spain U17
2 : 3
Croatia U17
28 May
Belgium U17
0 : 1
Spain U17
25 May
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
23 Apr
Spain U17
3 : 1
Ukraine U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U17 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Argentina U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Germany U17 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
4 Honduras U17 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland U17 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Mexico U17 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Brazil U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Japan U17 3 0 0 3 5:9 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Colombia U17 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Netherlands U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Gambia U17 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Burkina Faso U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 New Zealand U17 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Costa Rica U17 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 USA U17 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 United Arab Emirates U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Malawi U17 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 South Korea U17 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Uruguay U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Algeria U17 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams