Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malawi U20 vs Mozambique U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 2018 game between Malawi U20 and Mozambique U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Malawi U20
15%
Draws
0%
Mozambique U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malawi U20 come out ahead of Mozambique U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Malawi U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this COSAFA Championship U20 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Malawi U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Mozambique U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi U20 Mozambique U20
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2018 COSAFA Championship U20
Malawi U20 vs Mozambique U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi U20 85 / 100
Mozambique U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi U20 Mozambique U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Mozambique U20 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Malawi U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Mozambique U20 conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Malawi U20 VS Mozambique U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi U20

(Home)
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0
Malawi U20
11 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zambia U20
08 Jul
Namibia U20
0 : 2
Malawi U20
06 Jul
Angola U20
1 : 1
Malawi U20
04 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
Page 1 of 7

Mozambique U20

(Away)
23 Nov
Mozambique U20
0 : 2
Lesotho U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
2 : 0
Mozambique U20
30 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
28 Sept
Mozambique U20
1 : 2
Botswana U20
26 Sept
Mozambique U20
4 : 5
Eswatini U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia U20 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Mozambique U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 D.R. Congo U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Malawi U20 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Mauritius U20 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
3 Eswatini U20 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zimbabwe U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Angola U20 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Botswana U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Lesotho U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2018 (Play Offs)