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Malawi U23 vs Zambia U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Malawi U23 Logo

Malawi U23

0 - 1
FT
Zambia U23 Logo

Zambia U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Zambia U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Malawi U23
20%
Draws
51%
Zambia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zambia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zambia U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Malawi U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Zambia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zambia U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Malawi U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi U23 Zambia U23
Matches Played 6 17
Wins 2 5
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.5 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Zambia U23 vs Malawi U23
1:0
Mar 20, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Malawi U23 vs Zambia U23
0:1
Oct 4, 2011 Friendly International
Malawi U23 vs Zambia U23
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi U23 42 / 100
Zambia U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi U23 Zambia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U23 let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Malawi U23 scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Malawi U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malawi U23 VS Zambia U23
0.83 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi U23

(Home)
29 Sept
Malawi U23
0 : 1
Eswatini U23
24 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi U23
20 Mar
Malawi U23
0 : 1
Zambia U23
31 May
Malawi U23
3 : 1
Gabon U23
04 Oct
Malawi U23
2 : 2
Zambia U23
Page 1 of 2

Zambia U23

(Away)
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0
Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0
Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2