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Malawi vs Botswana

World World

Friendly International 2025
Sun, Jul 6, 2025
1 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botswana in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botswana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Malawi
15%
Draws
36%
Botswana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malawi lately — more wins on the board than Botswana.
  • Model gives Malawi a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Malawi Clean Sheet 20%
Botswana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi Botswana
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Botswana vs Malawi
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Friendly International
Malawi vs Botswana
1:2
Sep 10, 2019 World Championship
Malawi vs Botswana
1:0
Sep 7, 2019 World Championship
Botswana vs Malawi
0:0
May 30, 2018 COSAFA Cup
Malawi vs Botswana
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi 58 / 100
Botswana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi Botswana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botswana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Botswana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Malawi's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Malawi VS Botswana
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi

(Home)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
18 Nov
Lesotho
0 : 1
Malawi
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Botswana

(Away)
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3
D.R. Congo
27 Dec
Benin
1 : 0
Botswana
23 Dec
Senegal
3 : 0
Botswana
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