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Malaysia U23 vs Bangladesh U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Izwan A.
90' Event
Tierney F.

AI Match Summary

Malaysia U23 host Bangladesh U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2024. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Malaysia U23 have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Bangladesh U23's 1 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Malaysia U23 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2023, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.21 - 1.25) back Malaysia U23 to edge this. Malaysia U23 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Malaysia U23
28%
Draws
22%
Bangladesh U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Malaysia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Malaysia U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bangladesh U23.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Malaysia U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Malaysia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Bangladesh U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaysia U23 Bangladesh U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Malaysia U23 vs Bangladesh U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaysia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Izwan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tierney F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bangladesh U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaysia U23 59 / 100
Bangladesh U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaysia U23 Bangladesh U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaysia U23 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Bangladesh U23 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Malaysia U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bangladesh U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaysia U23 VS Bangladesh U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jordan U23330012:09
2Oman U2332015:16
3Syria U23310211:43
4Brunei U2330030:230
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U2322004:06
2Kyrgyzstan U2320111:21
3Myanmar U2320111:41
4Qatar U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U2332109:27
2Yemen U2332018:26
3Singapore U2330213:62
4Guam U2330122:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U2332107:07
2Palestine U2332013:26
3Bahrain U2331113:24
4Pakistan U2330032:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U23330019:19
2Iran U2332017:16
3Afghanistan U2330121:121
4Hong Kong U2330120:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U23321021:27
2Kuwait U2332109:27
3Timor-Leste U2331025:103
4Macau U2330030:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1United Arab Emirates U2321103:04
2China U2321102:14
3India U2320021:50
4Maldives U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand U2333009:09
2Malaysia U2332016:16
3Philippines U2331021:93
4Bangladesh U2330030:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U2321108:24
2Tajikistan U2321103:24
3Laos U2320022:90
4North Korea U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U23330012:29
2Cambodia U2331115:94
3Lebanon U2330213:62
4Mongolia U2330123:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indonesia U23220011:06
2Turkmenistan U2321014:23
3Chinese Taipei U2320020:130