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Malaysia vs Indonesia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

FIFA ASEAN Cup Gelora Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
Malaysia Logo

Malaysia

0 - 0
FT
Indonesia Logo

Indonesia

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
37'
Haye T.
42'
Sub
Oratmangoen R. In: Jenner I.
Out: Oratmangoen R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Malaysia
30%
Draws
37%
Indonesia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malaysia lately — more wins on the board than Indonesia.
  • Malaysia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Malaysia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Indonesia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 15%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaysia Indonesia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup
Malaysia vs Indonesia
0:0
Dec 19, 2021 ASEAN Championship
Malaysia vs Indonesia
1:4
Nov 19, 2019 World Championship
Malaysia vs Indonesia
2:0
Sep 5, 2019 World Championship
Indonesia vs Malaysia
2:3
Sep 6, 2016 Friendly International
Indonesia vs Malaysia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaysia 41 / 100
Indonesia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaysia Indonesia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaysia's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Malaysia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Indonesia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malaysia VS Indonesia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaysia

(Home)
01 Oct
Malaysia
6 : 0
Singapore
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Bangladesh
0 : 3
Malaysia
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2
Vietnam
Page 1 of 6

Indonesia

(Away)
01 Oct
Indonesia
9 : 2
Bangladesh
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Indonesia
2 : 0
Singapore
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Malaysia 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
3 Singapore 3 1 0 2 1:8 3
4 Bangladesh 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Vietnam 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Philippines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Pakistan 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 1 - Play Offs)