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Malaysia vs Iran

Asia Asia

CAFA Nations Cup
Mon, Sep 1, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Iran have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Malaysia have conceded 1.22 and scored 1.74. Head-to-head, Malaysia have won 0 to Iran's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Iran to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Malaysia
30%
Draws
35%
Iran
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iran lately — more wins on the board than Malaysia.
  • Win probability leans Malaysia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Iran arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 18%
Iran Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaysia Iran
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.74 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2025 CAFA Nations Cup
Malaysia vs Iran
0:0
Jul 18, 2007 Asian Cup
Malaysia vs Iran
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaysia 41 / 100
Iran 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaysia Iran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaysia scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Malaysia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Iran let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Malaysia VS Iran
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaysia

(Home)
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
01 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Malaysia
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
31 Mar
Vietnam
3 : 1
Malaysia
Page 1 of 6

Iran

(Away)
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Oman 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Turkmenistan 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Kyrgyzstan 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 India 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
3 Tajikistan 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Afghanistan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)