Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019

Greifswalder FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malchower play Greifswalder FC in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019. Greifswalder FC are favorites here. Recently, Malchower averaged 0.97 goals scored and 3.9 conceded. Greifswalder FC averaged 1.96 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Malchower won 2, Greifswalder FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2019 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Malchower and 0.93 for Greifswalder FC. This points to a Greifswalder FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Malchower

15%

Draws

72%

Greifswalder FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Greifswalder FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Malchower picked up more points recently compared to Greifswalder FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Malchower Clean Sheet 24%

Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Malchower	Greifswalder FC
Matches Played	30	26
Wins	2	11
Draws	1	8
Losses	27	7
Goals Scored	0.97	1.96
Goals Conceded	3.9	1.04

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

Malchower vs Greifswalder FC

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

0:5

Oct 26, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

Greifswalder FC vs Malchower

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Jun 7, 2015 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

Malchower vs Greifswalder FC

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Nov 30, 2014 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

Greifswalder FC vs Malchower

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 0 - 0

0:2

Mar 2, 2014 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

Greifswalder FC vs Malchower

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malchower 17 / 100

Greifswalder FC 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Malchower Greifswalder FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greifswalder FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Greifswalder FC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Malchower attacking → ← attacking Greifswalder FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malchower scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Greifswalder FC let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Malchower went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Greifswalder FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 41

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lichtenberg	30	23	5	2	69:12	74
2	TB Berlin	30	21	4	5	76:27	67
3	Greifswalder FC	30	18	5	7	67:44	59
4	Hertha Zehlendorf	30	16	7	7	64:33	55
5	Hansa Rostock II	30	16	7	7	69:39	55
6	Blau Weiss Berlin	30	13	5	12	58:39	44
7	Altludersdorf	30	13	2	15	50:61	41
8	SC Staaken	30	10	8	12	56:52	38
9	Torgelower Greif	30	10	8	12	44:48	38
10	TSG Neustrelitz	30	10	7	13	37:46	37
11	CFC Hertha	30	12	1	17	45:67	37
12	Stendal	30	11	2	17	42:72	35
13	Strausberg	30	10	3	17	42:64	33
14	Brandenburger	30	9	5	16	52:64	32
15	Wismar	30	8	8	14	25:47	32
16	Malchower	30	1	1	28	28:109	4