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Malchower vs Wismar

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019
Malchower Logo

Malchower

1 - 2
FT
Wismar Logo

Wismar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 game between Malchower and Wismar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wismar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Malchower
15%
Draws
57%
Wismar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wismar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Wismar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Wismar a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Malchower Clean Sheet 18%
Wismar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malchower Wismar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 27 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.62
Goals Conceded 3.9 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Wismar
1:2
Oct 20, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Wismar vs Malchower
2:0
May 8, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Wismar vs Malchower
0:1
Sep 22, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Wismar
2:1
May 28, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Wismar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malchower 10 / 100
Wismar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malchower Wismar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wismar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wismar let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Wismar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Malchower scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wismar
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malchower

(Home)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
Page 1 of 6

Wismar

(Away)
29 Aug
Wismar
1 : 2
TUS Makkabi
16 Aug
Stendal
2 : 3
Wismar
08 Aug
Wismar
1 : 0
Hertha Zehlendorf
08 Jul
Wismar
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
04 Jul
Greifswalder FC
6 : 1
Wismar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lichtenberg 30 23 5 2 69:12 74
2 TB Berlin 30 21 4 5 76:27 67
3 Greifswalder FC 30 18 5 7 67:44 59
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 16 7 7 64:33 55
5 Hansa Rostock II 30 16 7 7 69:39 55
6 Blau Weiss Berlin 30 13 5 12 58:39 44
7 Altludersdorf 30 13 2 15 50:61 41
8 SC Staaken 30 10 8 12 56:52 38
9 Torgelower Greif 30 10 8 12 44:48 38
10 TSG Neustrelitz 30 10 7 13 37:46 37
11 CFC Hertha 30 12 1 17 45:67 37
12 Stendal 30 11 2 17 42:72 35
13 Strausberg 30 10 3 17 42:64 33
14 Brandenburger 30 9 5 16 52:64 32
15 Wismar 30 8 8 14 25:47 32
16 Malchower 30 1 1 28 28:109 4
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2019/2020 (Main)