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Asia

AFC Championship U19 2016

Tajikistan U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maldives U19 play Tajikistan U19 in the AFC Championship U19 2016. Tajikistan U19 are favorites here. Recently, Maldives U19 averaged 0.53 goals scored and 3.53 conceded. Tajikistan U19 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Maldives U19 won 0, Tajikistan U19 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 2, 2019 ended 9:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Maldives U19 and 3.25 for Tajikistan U19. This points to a Tajikistan U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%

Maldives U19

17%

Draws

72%

Tajikistan U19

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tajikistan U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Maldives U19 picked up more points recently compared to Tajikistan U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 3.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%

Maldives U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Tajikistan U19 Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maldives U19	Tajikistan U19
Matches Played	17	28
Wins	1	14
Draws	4	7
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	0.53	2.07
Goals Conceded	3.53	1.11
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2019 AFC Championship U19

Tajikistan U19 vs Maldives U19

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

9:0

Nov 6, 2017 AFC Championship U19

Tajikistan U19 vs Maldives U19

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 0 - 4

5:0

Oct 6, 2015 AFC Championship U19

Maldives U19 vs Tajikistan U19

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:8

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldives U19 12 / 100

Tajikistan U19 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maldives U19 Tajikistan U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tajikistan U19 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Tajikistan U19 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +266.6%

33.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maldives U19 attacking → ← attacking Tajikistan U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldives U19 scored in 29% of their last 17 games.

Tajikistan U19 let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 7.33 goals.

Maldives U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tajikistan U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 49

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.00

3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U19	3	3	0	0	14:0	9
2	Bangladesh U19	3	1	1	1	3:5	4
3	Sri Lanka U19	3	1	0	2	2:5	3
4	Bhutan U19	3	0	1	2	1:10	1
5	Pakistan U19	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U19	3	3	0	11:1	9
2	Yemen U19	3	2	1	2:2	6
3	Turkmenistan U19	3	1	2	4:7	3
4	Syria U19	3	0	3	2:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates U19	3	3	0	15:0	9
2	Palestine U19	3	2	1	3:5	6
3	Afghanistan U19	3	1	2	2:5	3
4	India U19	3	0	3	0:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar U19	3	3	0	0	13:2	9
2	Oman U19	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Lebanon U19	3	1	1	1	4:5	4
4	Kyrgyzstan U19	3	0	0	3	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran U19	3	3	0	0	15:0	9
2	Kuwait U19	3	1	1	1	3:4	4
3	Jordan U19	3	1	0	2	4:5	3
4	Nepal U19	3	0	1	2	1:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U19	3	3	0	11:1	9
2	Tajikistan U19	3	2	1	11:4	6
3	Bahrain U19	3	1	2	7:7	3
4	Maldives U19	3	0	3	0:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam U19	4	4	0	0	11:2	12
2	Myanmar U19	4	2	1	1	6:2	7
3	Timor-Leste U19	4	1	2	1	5:2	5
4	Hong Kong U19	4	1	1	2	7:5	4
5	Brunei U19	4	0	0	4	0:18	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U19	4	4	0	0	26:4	12
2	Thailand U19	4	3	0	1	14:2	9
3	Singapore U19	4	1	1	2	14:11	4
4	Chinese Taipei U19	4	1	1	2	13:12	4
5	Northern Mariana Islands U19	4	0	0	4	0:38	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	China U19	3	3	0	16:0	9
2	North Korea U19	3	2	1	7:3	6
3	Malaysia U19	3	1	2	4:8	3
4	Macau U19	3	0	3	1:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U19	3	3	0	11:0	9
2	Australia U19	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Laos U19	3	1	2	2:5	3
4	Philippines U19	3	0	3	1:14	0