Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Tabinas J.
Assist: Schneider R.
37'
37'
Reyes S.
Assist: Gayoso J.
46'
46'
Sub
Ali S. In: Gasim T.
Out: Ali S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Maldives haven't matched Philippines's recent run of results.
- Model gives Philippines a 51% chance of winning this.
- Philippines arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Philippines, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Philippines here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Maldives Clean Sheet 10%
Philippines Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maldives | Philippines |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2025 Asian Cup
Maldives vs Philippines
0:2
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Philippines vs Maldives
4:1
Jun 15, 2021 World Championship
Philippines vs Maldives
1:1
Nov 14, 2019 World Championship
Maldives vs Philippines
1:2
Sep 3, 2015 Friendly International
Philippines vs Maldives
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maldives Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Philippines Compare
Top Goalscorer Tabinas J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reyes S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maldives 18 / 100
Philippines 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maldives Philippines
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Philippines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Philippines conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Maldives scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Away concern: Philippines has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maldives VS Philippines
0.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Maldives
(Home) 24 Sept
China
3 : 0 Maldives
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1 Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3 Pakistan
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1 Afghanistan
31 Mar
Maldives
2 : 1 Timor-Leste
Page 1 of 7
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1 Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3 Pakistan
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1 Afghanistan
31 Mar
Maldives
2 : 1 Timor-Leste
18 Nov
Maldives
0 : 2 Philippines
Page 1 of 3
Philippines
(Away) 08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0 Philippines
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1 Thailand
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4 Philippines
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4 Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1 Myanmar
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0 Philippines
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4 Philippines
31 Mar
Tajikistan
1 : 1 Philippines
18 Nov
Maldives
0 : 2 Philippines
09 Oct
Timor-Leste
1 : 4 Philippines
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Maldives | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Bhutan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Brunei | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Bangladesh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | India | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Afghanistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Laos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
