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Maldives W vs Sri Lanka W

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Friendly International Women 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2016 game between Maldives W and Sri Lanka W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maldives W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Maldives W
17%
Draws
70%
Sri Lanka W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sri Lanka W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sri Lanka W come out ahead of Maldives W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Maldives W Clean Sheet 10%
Sri Lanka W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldives W Sri Lanka W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 4 5
Draws 1 0
Losses 28 26
Goals Scored 0.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 7.5 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.50 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2024 SAFF Championship Women
Sri Lanka W vs Maldives W
1:0
Dec 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
Sri Lanka W vs Maldives W
1:2
Mar 15, 2019 SAFF Championship Women
Maldives W vs Sri Lanka W
0:2
Dec 26, 2016 SAFF Championship Women
Sri Lanka W vs Maldives W
2:5
Feb 11, 2016 Friendly International Women
Maldives W vs Sri Lanka W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldives W 14 / 100
Sri Lanka W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldives W Sri Lanka W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Lanka W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sri Lanka W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Maldives W's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maldives W VS Sri Lanka W
0.13 Goals Scored 0.25
7.5 Goals Conceded 4.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%