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Maldon & Tiptree vs Colchester

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maldon & Tiptree play Colchester in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maldon & Tiptree averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Colchester averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Maldon & Tiptree won 0, Colchester won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 12, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Maldon & Tiptree and 1.11 for Colchester. This points to a Colchester double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Maldon & Tiptree
15%
Draws
50%
Colchester
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maldon & Tiptree picked up more points recently compared to Colchester.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Maldon & Tiptree Clean Sheet 21%
Colchester Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldon & Tiptree Colchester
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Maldon & Tiptree vs Colchester
0:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Maldon & Tiptree vs Colchester
0:2
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Maldon & Tiptree vs Colchester
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldon & Tiptree Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Colchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Akinde J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cooper C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldon & Tiptree 36 / 100
Colchester 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldon & Tiptree Colchester

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colchester or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maldon & Tiptree attacking → ← attacking Colchester

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldon & Tiptree scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Colchester let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Maldon & Tiptree went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Colchester lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00