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Maldonado vs Albion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Maldonado at 1.68 goals for, 0.86 against; Albion at 1.29 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Maldonado have won 1 to Albion's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.69 - 0.81) back Maldonado to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Maldonado
15%
Draws
21%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Maldonado have won more games recently than Albion.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Maldonado taking it.
  • Maldonado have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Albion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 20%
Albion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Albion
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Albion
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Albion
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda Division
Albion vs Maldonado
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Albion
0:1
Oct 24, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Maldonado
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 85 / 100
Albion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Albion has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Maldonado stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Albion
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Maldonado
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Cerro Largo
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

Albion

(Away)
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Maldonado -
Albion -
Boston River -
River Plate Montevideo -
Central Esp. -
Danubio -
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
Club Nacional -
Rentistas -
Liverpool M. -
Cerro Largo -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Quarter-finals
Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -