Sport Picks
Maldonado vs Boston River
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel 
AI Match Summary
Maldonado play Boston River in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maldonado averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Boston River averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Maldonado won 2, Boston River won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Maldonado and 1.31 for Boston River. This points to a Maldonado double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Maldonado picked up more points recently compared to Boston River.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maldonado | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maldonado Compare
Boston River Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maldonado scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Boston River let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Maldonado went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Boston River lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |