Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Maldonado host CA Cerro in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Maldonado have averaged 1.79 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against CA Cerro's 0.93 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Maldonado slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 23, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.88 - 0.94) back Maldonado to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Maldonado have won more games recently than CA Cerro.
- Model gives Maldonado a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Maldonado here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maldonado | CA Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maldonado scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
CA Cerro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Maldonado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Maldonado
(Home)CA Cerro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | 8 |
