Sport Picks
Maldonado vs Liverpool M.
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado 
AI Match Summary
Maldonado host Liverpool M. in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Maldonado have averaged 1.61 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Liverpool M.'s 1.32 scored and 0.89 conceded. Past meetings favor Liverpool M. slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.94) point toward Maldonado. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Liverpool M. haven't matched Maldonado's recent run of results.
- Model gives Maldonado a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maldonado | Liverpool M. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maldonado's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Maldonado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Liverpool M. has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Maldonado
(Home)Liverpool M.
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Penarol | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Central Esp. | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6:16 | 0 |
