Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maldonado vs Wanderers

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ramirez S.
36'
Sub
Urretaviscaya J. In: Freitas G.
Out: Urretaviscaya J.
48'
Gonzalez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Maldonado and Wanderers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maldonado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Maldonado
30%
Draws
23%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Maldonado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maldonado's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Wanderers
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Maldonado vs Wanderers
4:1
Sep 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Wanderers
2:0
May 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Wanderers
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 77 / 100
Wanderers 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Wanderers has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Maldonado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Wanderers
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1
Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Wanderers
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2
Maldonado
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0
Maldonado
22 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0
Penarol
Page 1 of 7

Wanderers

(Away)
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
Club Nacional
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1
Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Wanderers
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
CA Cerro
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0
Central Esp.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 5 5 0 0 14:4 15
2 Liverpool M. 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
3 CA Cerro 6 4 1 1 8:7 13
4 Racing Montevideo 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Penarol 5 3 1 1 9:3 9
6 Juventud 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
7 Maldonado 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
8 Boston River 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
9 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Wanderers 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
11 Progreso 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
12 Cerro Largo 6 0 5 1 5:6 5
13 Central Esp. 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
14 Defensor Sp. 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
15 Danubio 6 0 3 3 1:7 3
16 Albion 6 0 0 6 4:11 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)