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Maldonado vs Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ramirez S.
36'
Sub
Urretaviscaya J. In: Freitas G.
Out: Urretaviscaya J.
48'
Gonzalez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Maldonado and Wanderers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maldonado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Maldonado
20%
Draws
7%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Maldonado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maldonado's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Wanderers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Maldonado vs Wanderers
4:1
Sep 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Wanderers
2:0
May 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Wanderers
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 95 / 100
Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Wanderers has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Maldonado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Wanderers
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
02 Nov
Albion
0 : 0
Maldonado
28 Oct
Porongos
0 : 4
Maldonado
24 Oct
Maldonado
2 : 1
Danubio
19 Oct
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Maldonado
15 Oct
Maldonado
4 : 1
Albion
Page 1 of 6

Wanderers

(Away)
05 Nov
Lito
4 : 0
Wanderers
31 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1
Wanderers
25 Oct
Wanderers
0 : 1
Progreso
17 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 0
Wanderers
10 Oct
Wanderers
1 : 3
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 13 9 3 1 22:8 30
2 Montevideo City 13 9 1 3 26:14 28
3 Club Nacional 13 8 2 3 19:13 26
4 Maldonado 13 6 4 3 18:10 22
5 Penarol 13 6 5 2 17:9 22
6 Racing Montevideo 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
7 Progreso 13 6 1 6 13:15 19
8 Juventud 13 4 6 3 12:10 18
9 CA Cerro 13 5 3 5 15:19 18
10 Wanderers 13 4 4 5 14:19 16
11 Boston River 13 4 3 6 15:17 15
12 Albion 13 4 1 8 15:20 13
13 Defensor Sp. 13 3 3 7 16:23 12
14 Danubio 13 2 4 7 7:15 10
15 Cerro Largo 13 1 6 6 10:17 9
16 Central Esp. 13 2 2 9 8:22 8
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)